Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 0.008801 0.010407 0.012349 0.014909 0.018261 0.022591 0.028771
2025-06-22 0.006426 0.008176 0.010531 0.014053 0.019419 0.027740 0.042697
2025-06-29 0.005398 0.007213 0.009842 0.014148 0.021538 0.034911 0.064839
2025-07-06 0.004815 0.006692 0.009577 0.014688 0.024446 0.044968 0.103295
2025-07-13 0.004480 0.006449 0.009648 0.015752 0.028728 0.060846 0.183575
2025-07-20 0.004127 0.006106 0.009465 0.016275 0.032149 0.077845 0.318171
2025-07-27 0.003778 0.005710 0.009102 0.016325 0.034523 0.094553 0.537595
2025-08-03 0.003497 0.005386 0.008808 0.016434 0.037133 0.115677 0.996610
2025-08-10 0.003190 0.004979 0.008288 0.015903 0.037728 0.130038 1.665918
2025-08-17 0.002887 0.004543 0.007653 0.014963 0.036712 0.136118 2.449322
2025-08-24 0.002643 0.004194 0.007146 0.014233 0.036113 0.144471 3.953323
2025-08-31 0.002536 0.004086 0.007111 0.014666 0.039720 0.185968 17.286994
2025-09-07 0.002365 0.003856 0.006826 0.014488 0.041471 0.224351 191.960395
2025-09-14 0.002159 0.003544 0.006332 0.013658 0.040364 0.238529 22281.300942
2025-09-21 0.002045 0.003399 0.006183 0.013750 0.043243 0.307329 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001973 0.003327 0.006181 0.014268 0.048565 0.448418 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001935 0.003320 0.006328 0.015291 0.057615 0.788489 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001870 0.003248 0.006310 0.015792 0.064590 1.292112 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001786 0.003132 0.006168 0.015840 0.068977 1.940845 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001713 0.003030 0.006050 0.015945 0.074105 3.169277 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001619 0.002876 0.005780 0.015435 0.074190 4.073136 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001515 0.002694 0.005424 0.014533 0.070472 4.148788 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001427 0.002542 0.005134 0.013832 0.068060 4.522849 NaN